2011 Rays Projections: Reid Brignac

February 2, 2011 at 11:21 am 3 comments

Reid Brignac

2011 is the year that Rays fans will finally get to see Reid Brignac as their starting shortstop. Brignac was being called the Rays shortstop of the future since he broke on to the scene by winning the MVP in the Cal League in 2001.

Since then, though, he hasn’t performed at the same level, digressing a bit on offense while becoming a very good fielding shortstop. Inability to hit left-handed pitching, poor discipline and lack of pitch recognition at higher levels have hurt him but with repetition and he should be able to find his niche.

Here are my projected stats for Brignac:

 Stat  Total
 AVG  .270
 OBP  .323
 SLG  .411
 OPS  .734
 Plate App.  526
 At-Bats  489
 Hits  132
 Homeruns  11
 Doubles  28
 Triples  4
 BB  35
 SO  108
 SB  5
 UZR  +5

 

That makes Brignac roughly a 2.3-2.5 fWAR player in 2011, an actual improvement over the departed Jason Bartlett. Brignac will get a lot of production from his glove. He posted a +3.0 UZR in only 340.2 innings at shortstop in 2010 so my projected +5.0 may be a little low. He also has some loft to his swing so the 11 homeruns may be a bit low and the .270 average could be a bit high. Either way, I feel these are pretty safe projections and I do feel he can out perform them and be a 3-win player.

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3 Comments Add your own

  • […] Home › MLB › 2011 Rays Projections: Reid Brignac […]

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  • 2. William  |  February 2, 2011 at 11:38 am

    I love this guy. Your projections look really good for being correct. I actually think he’ll hit more homers. But you are right, it’s his defense that makes this such a fun year to look forward to.

    Reply
  • 3. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  February 2, 2011 at 12:06 pm

    By using rates and projected rates I came up with 11 homeruns but I could definitely see an outside shot at 15 with the loft in his swing.

    Reply

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