Andruw Jones Might Be an Upgrade in RF

November 27, 2009 at 11:10 am 2 comments

Andruw Jones
(AP Photo)

The Chicago White Sox struck a heck of a deal with OF/DH/1B Andruw Jones that will pay him a base salary of $500k with the potential for $1M more, a figure he will surely reach with moderate playing time. I absolutely love this deal for the White Sox even though they will not give him a starting job, at least not right off the bat.

The White Sox are likely going to lose outfielders Scott Podsednik and Jermaine Dye this offseason and they have already lost backup outfielder DeWayne Wise. The White Sox needed some outfield depth and that’s why they signed Jones.

The White Sox already have Carlos Quentin in left and Alex Rios is more than capable of patrolling center, but they are slated to have Mark Kotsay, Alejandro De Aza or some other quad-A player in right. Bleh. That gives them no power in an outfield corner spot. Not good. I think Andruw Jones could and should be the man in right field next season and, check this, he may actually be an upgrade over the beloved Jermaine Dye.

Jermaine Dye posted a sad and pathetic UZR/150 of -24.5 in right last year. Add that to a .250/.340/.453 slash line and .344 wOBA over 574 plate appearances and you end up with a -0.3 WAR player. That’s right, -0.3. He was below replacement level last season. In 2008 he was a 1.7 WAR player but in 2007 he was a -0.7.

Andruw Jones posted a UZR/150+24.9 in 148.2 outfield innings and +25.4 in 39.2 innings at first base. Small sample sizes, I know, but add that to his .214/.323/.459 slash line and .338 wOBA in only 338 plate appearances and you get a +0.8 WAR player. In 2008 he was a dismal -0.9 WAR player but in 2007 he was a +3.6.

Jones, in my opinion, can still play center but would be plus in a corner spot. And he moves to Chicago’s homer prone windy park and he brings his 49.5% flyball rate with him. All these things added up (and hopefully some off field conditioning) and I think the White Sox could have at least a +2.0 WAR player if they give him 500 plate appearances in right field.

-stats from fangraphs.com

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2 Comments Add your own

  • 1. Jeffrey Cadavero  |  November 28, 2009 at 12:44 pm

    Andruw Jones SUCKS!!! I used to live in the Chattanooga, TN area with the Braves being my “home” team for nearly 30 years..I followed Andruw much closer than any of you all have for his entire career and saw him strike-out more times than I can count not to mention him being a HUGE reason why the Braves continuously “choked” in the postseason year after year..his career is over and Chicago is stupid for taking a chance on him..he’s not worth $500 dollars!!! you’ll see what I’m talking about..Joe Torre did the right thing with him a few seasons ago and that was to bench his sorry ass-then cut him-something his “washed up” manager, Bobby Cox refused to do the last year he spent with the Braves in ’07..

    Reply
  • 2. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  November 28, 2009 at 2:46 pm

    You’re right, a centerfielder with a .273/.365/.433 and incredible defense in the playoffs is considered choking. He’s easily worth that contract and possibly more. You’re looking at the wrong stats. Strikeouts are not the end-all-be-all of stats.

    Reply

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