Marlins Trade arb-eligible Gregg to Cubs for Jose Ceda

November 13, 2008 at 1:23 pm 5 comments


The Florida Marlins traded reliever Kevin Gregg to the Chicago Cubs for right handed prospect Jose Ceda. This is the fourth players the Marlins have traded this offseason that is arbitration-eligible.

The Chicago Cubs get a reliable reliever in Gregg. Gregg has been the Marlins’ clsoer the past two seasons, notching 61 saves in 71 chances. He has a 3.48 ERA is his two seasons in the NL East with almost a strikeout per inning. Gregg does have some control issues and walks a good number of hitters. Gregg should slot in as a set-up guy unless the Cubs decide not to re-sign Kerry Wood or another closer.

The Marlins cut loose another player that is going to get a raise this offseason. Gregg made $2.5M last season as is due a raise to at least $4M, a figure the Marlins were not willing to pay.

With all that said, the Marlins got their best player in return for all thier trades this offseason. Ceda has a plus fastball that sits in the mid-90s and hits the upper 90s in relief roles but little movement. He also has a slider that sits in the mid-to-upper 80s with good bite to it. He has very poor command and control. He has a good frame and can handle more than one-inning roles. Ceda is only 21 (he turns 22 in late January) and has already pitched in Double-A where he posted a 2.08 ERA with a 42/14 K/BB rate in 30.1 innings pitched spanning 22 relief appearances.

Ceda projects a power arm, late-innnig reliever that should be able to post K/9 rates in the 9s yearly. While he has started in the past his stuff is exceptionally better out of the pen and he does not have the repitoire to start games.

The Cubs gave up an arm that is likely to be better than Gregg in the future but has a chance to never pan out. They went with probability in this deal while the Marlins cut more costs and gained an arm that has a ton of upside and will be cheap for years.

This is an easy win for the Marlins and I have to wonder if they are cutting and saving all this money for a run at a top free agent.

-Jonathan C. Mitchell

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5 Comments Add your own

  • 1. Erik  |  November 13, 2008 at 2:23 pm

    Jonathan I am sorry to say… the Marlins aren’t trying to land a top FA by curbing this salary away.
    I expected Gregg to be moved. I was surprised it was the Cubs. Looks like Kerry Wood will find a new home… Maybe Atlanta? Maybe the Mets? Who knows.
    Ceda is another one of those 5 year plan guys. Who knows if this trade will pan out. At first glance Cubs did well. Marlins to early to tell.

  • 2. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  November 13, 2008 at 2:31 pm

    I just have a gut feeling the Marlins are going to spend some cash. I knew they would deal Gregg but I was surprised they got Ceda in return.

    Ceda is a guy that could contribute to the pen as soon as mid-2009 and could out perform Gregg from that point on. Ceda isn’t 5 years away at all. One year maybe.

    I still think the Cubs might get Wood, too.

  • 3. Charlie Nehl  |  November 13, 2008 at 3:30 pm

    Nope 😦

  • 4. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  November 14, 2008 at 10:24 am

    That is sad news. I honestly think Kerry Wood loves it there so much he might take less to sign unless a team from his hometown offers him market value.

  • 5. Erik  |  November 15, 2008 at 6:46 am

    see my post in the cubs are making a mistake.


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