Phillies in Pursuit of Holliday?

November 8, 2008 at 11:09 am 5 comments

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There are rumblings that the Colorado Rockies and the Philadelphia Phillies met at the GM meetings to discuss a trade that will send star Matt Holliday to the Phillies. While Rockies GM Dan O’Dowd wouldn’t confirm anything it has been know that he will shop Holliday and the Phillies have always been interested and with Pat Burrell a free agent they have a LF void.

Troy E. Renck at The Denver Post says that the Rockies are interested in top prospect Carlos Carrasco, pitcher J.A. Happ, and center fielder Shane Victorino.

Todd Zolecki at philly.com claims “one baseball source said the Rockies likely would require Shane Victorino or Jayson Werth plus at least a couple of top prospects – start with righthander Carlos Carrasco and work down – to get serious.”

Matt Holliday is a great athlete and a good player. But we all know his stats have been padded thanks to his home park. Here are his career Home/Road splits:

Home: .357/.423/.645, 106 doubles, 16 triples, 84 homers, 307 RBI, 285 runs in 1353 at-bats
Road: .280/.348/.455 82 doubles, 7 triples, 44 homers, 176 RBI, 194 runs in 1303 at-bats

Philadelphia is a great hitter’s park but it is not Coors Field. Another knock on Holliday is his defense in left, where he is below average with hints of average.

The Phillies would be making a mistake if they gave up their top prospect Carlos Carrasco (3.69 ERA, 155/58 K/BB in 151.1 innings between AA and AAA), either one of Victorino or Werth, and another player for one year of Holliday and his $13.5M owed to him. The Phillies need to hold onto thier current players and their top prospects. They will be better served by throwing an incentive laden contract at Rocco Baldelli, signing Juan Rivera, or even going after a guy like Russell Branyan and and saving the money for pitching. Holliday is not worth the price and the Phillies have more pitching needs than hitting needs.

-Jonathan C. Mitchell

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5 Comments Add your own

  • 1. John Cloutman  |  November 9, 2008 at 9:56 pm

    I honestly think that Roy Holliday is going to breakdown over the next year or two. How many complete games has he thrown over the last couple of years. I know it has to be an obscene amount.

    As far as trading Carrasco, the Phillies would be making a big mistake. The numbers prove that he has the stuff to make it.

    While Baldelli is loved and admired in Tampa I think that the only way I would go after him is if he agrees to a contract that has a number of games and performance stipulations in it. If he can get over the current issues (which all signs say he on well on the way to recovery), I think he has the potential to be a stud!!

    Reply
  • 2. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  November 10, 2008 at 8:52 am

    I think Roy Halladay will be fine. If he gets injured it will be something non related to his innings. He throws less pitches than anyone with his number of innings.

    By the way, the article was about the Rockies Matt Holliday, not the Blue Jays Roy Halladay.

    Reply
  • 3. Charlie Nehl  |  November 10, 2008 at 12:15 pm

    While I think Holliday would a good replacement for Burrell in Left, as you say they’d be giving up too much for him. The Phillies need one more top tierish pitcher to round out their rotation. Who knows if Moyer will be back? I figure J.A. Happ should compete for a spot in the rotation with Carrasco in the wings. Hamels, Myers, Blanton are in for sure, with Happ a good possiblity.

    Worst case? They have the Jenkins/Platoon play RF and LF, or sign a different OF, or premote some young talent. One thing is for sure in my opinion; they need to keep Victorino.

    Reply
  • 4. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  November 10, 2008 at 1:16 pm

    Looks like Holliday is heading to Oakland. Not a good place for his bat.

    Reply
  • 5. Charlie Nehl  |  November 10, 2008 at 2:03 pm

    They have a logjam in the OF already anyway! JUST ADD MORE RAWRRRRRRR.

    Reply

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