Offseason Trade: Peavy to the Braves?

October 7, 2008 at 4:11 pm 6 comments

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It has been speculated by many that Padres GM Kevin Towers will shop ace Jake Peavy this offseason in an effort to rebuild and cut payroll. David O’Brien of tha Atlanta Journal-Constitution thinks the Braves should make a run at the ace.

This isn’t going to be an easy trade either. Peavy has a no-trade clause in his contract but that shouldn’t be a problem if it meant Peavy going to a contender or to the team that is closest to his Alabama home.

Peavy will make $11 million in 2009, $15 million in 2010, $16 million in 2011 and $17 million in 2012. There’s also a big ol’ $22-million team option for 2013, with a $4 million buyout. That is a bargain and will make it harder to acquire the ace. The Braves also have about $40M-$45M to spend this offseason so the money is no obstacle for them.

The main obstacle will be the price it will take to acquire Peavy.

I speculate the price being in the Dan Haren range and maybe even higher.

What will it take to get the Cy Young winner in a Braves uni then?

The Braves might have to give up a package with at least 3 of these names in it and one of the three has to be either Hanson or Heyward: Tommy Hanson (RHP), Jayson Heyward (OF), Freddie Freeman (1B) Jair Jurrjens (RHP), Jordan Schafer (OF), Cole Rohrbough (LHP), Brent Liliibridge (SS), Gorkys Hernandez (OF), Jeff Locke (LHP), Steven Evarts (LHP), Kris Medlen (RHP).

The Padres might not be swayed by guys like Chuck James, Kelly Johnson, or Brandon Jones but they may be willing to take Jeff Francoeur in the trade.

The Braves will probably place an untouchable tag on Jayson Heyward (as would I) but they may allow Hanson in the deal to get Peavy. If I were the Braves I would offer a package close to this:

Tommy Hanson (RHP) – Potential ace
Jeff Francoeur (RF) – Fallen star that can still rake but needs to learn when to swing the bat
Brent Lillibridge (SS) – Might be a valuable super-sub or a guy who can start for a couple years
Steven Evarts (LHP) – Upside lefty that is 20 years old and has plus control/command already. Good fit for PETCO
Brett Butts (RHP) – Reliever. Extra arm, maybe a 12th guy in the pen. PETCO will help.

That package gives the Padres a wide variety and at worst will get the ball rolling on a potential trade.

In all honesty the Padres don’t have to trade Peavy and may wait until the trade deadline next season or the following offseason and it may take a package like above with the addition of a Gorkys Hernandez or maybe someone better. If I were the Braves I would include Hernandez but not anyone likd Heyward or Schafer. I would also make sure I can put a winning team around Peavy before pulling the trigger on a deal that will include that much of their future.

****Other Peavy Non-sense****

– My own mind playing GM here: If I were the Rays I would seriously consider Peavy. They easily have the tools to acquire him and I don’t think money will be too much of a problem after their current success. I would offer this: Edwin Jackson (RHP), Andy Sonnanstine (RHP), Nick Barnese (RHP, potential #1 still far from ready though), Justin Ruggiano (OF), Jeff Niemann (RHP), and Mitch Talbot (RHP). That may not get it done but it is a surplus of good arms that are ready now and onw that will be ready in a couple years. I would balk at anything with Wade Davis in it but that may be what it takes to get Peavy. Oh well, just speculation.

– The Rangers have the pieces to acquire Peavy but I doubt he will waive his no-trade clause to go pitch in Arlington even though his Home/Road splits aren’t too bad the last couple years.

– I would rule out any New York team going after him. I don’t see him waiving his no-trade clause nor do I see either team having the pieces to acquire him.

– The Red Sox have the means to acquire Peavy but I don’t see it happening.

-Jonathan C. Mitchell

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6 Comments Add your own

  • 1. Charlie Nehl  |  October 14, 2008 at 2:23 pm

    The braves need some pitching. Smoltz, Glavine, and Hampton are really showing their age (Hampton really shouldn’t need to be included purely on his injury history). Jorge Campillo isn’t the answer. The Braves have a good farm system they should dip into to overhaul a few aspects of the team.

    Reply
  • 2. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  October 15, 2008 at 7:56 am

    I agree. I really think a Peavy deal can get done between the teams and Peavy would without a doubt veto his no-trade to go to Atlanta.

    Reply
  • 3. Charlie Nehl  |  October 15, 2008 at 9:46 am

    It would silly for him not to really. He’d be going to better team in theory. They’ve got a better farm system than the Padres, and they’re starting to make the climb backup from their drop, where as the Pads possibly might not have hitten the tank yet.

    Reply
  • 4. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  October 15, 2008 at 9:47 am

    I agree. The Padres are rebuilding and I think Peavy wants to win and stay in the NL. Plus, Atlanta is the closest to his hometown so I see this a no-brainer if the Braves make a bold move to land Peavy.

    Reply
  • 5. Charlie Nehl  |  October 16, 2008 at 11:10 am

    He’s said that he’s allow trades to 5 NL teams.

    “Among the cities Axelrod mentioned were Atlanta, Chicago, Houston, Los Angeles and St. Louis.”

    I wouldn’t mind him on the Cubs.

    Reply
  • 6. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  October 16, 2008 at 4:58 pm

    I don’t think the Cubs have the good to acquire Peavy. Of those teams Atlanta has the best shot unless LA wants to give up Kershaw. St. Louis could dangle Rasmus.

    Reply

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