Is an Upset Around the Corner?

October 6, 2007 at 2:54 pm 12 comments

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The Philadelphia Phillies and the Chicago Cubs enter today down 0-2 to their respective opponents as do the New York Yankees and the LAA Angels. I’ll be honest, I think the Yanks and Angels have 0% chance of coming back so that’s as far as I’ll go with them. Only four teams (thanks Nicole for your knowledge) have ever come back from 0-2: 1995 Mariners, 1999 Red Sox, 2001 Yankees, 2003 Red Sox. Are one of these teams due to become only the fifth team to come back from 0-2 ever?

Philadelphia Phillies – The Phillies now have to head into Colorado and not only face the hottest team in the Majors but possibly the most energetic fans too. The Phillies don’t care, they’ve played underdog all year. “No one is panicking, no one is down,” said SS Jimmy Rollins.

The Phillies get a favorable match-up tonight (Jamie Moyer vs. Ubaldo Jiminez) even though Moyer has been awful at Coors in the past (11 IP, 12 runs, 17 hits), an even match-up on Sunday (Kyle Lohse vs. Josh Fogg), and another even match-up back at home (Cole Hamels vs. Jeff Francis) if the series can make it that far. This series is going to come down to who hits and plays defense. The Phillies face an uphill battle but they could make this happen.

I put the Phillies chances at about 25% to come back.

Chicag Cubs – The Cubs get to head home to some of the most awesome fans of all-time. The Diamondbacks have defied the laws of baseball and numbers, leading the NL victories while giving up 20 more runs than they scored. The Cubs hitters should have batting practice all day today. They get to face Livan Hernandez, the pitcher that gave up 247 hits (most in NL) this season and 79 walks (7th most in NL) while only striking out 90 in over 200 innings. The Cubs send Rich Hill to the mound and he had a great first full season with the Cubs.

The Cubs then send Zambrano back out against Micah Owings. This is the key game. Zambrano is awful on short rest (his last start on short rest was 5.1 IP 7 hits, 4 runs, 1 K, 3 BB, I HR on 100 pitches) and once he reaches pitch total 91-105 the league hits .344 against him. Owings has been great over his last two starts (15.1 IP, no runs, 6 hits, 1 BB, 8 K) including a 2-hit shutout. If the Cubs get past this game the momentum should shift their way. Game 5 will be Brandon Webb vs. Ted Lilly back in Arizona and that could be a game that will favor the Snakes but could go the end. This is baseball, anything can happen!

I put the Cubs a 50% chance of coming back.

-Jonathan C. Mitchell

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12 Comments Add your own

  • 1. Nicole  |  October 6, 2007 at 3:14 pm

    I agree that the Cubs have the best chance of coming back.

    The ’01 Yanks weren’t the only team to come back after being down 0-2 in the divisional series. The ’95 Mariners, ’99 Red Sox and ’03 Red Sox did before as well.

    Reply
  • 2. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  October 6, 2007 at 3:22 pm

    Good call Nicole. I was thinking only one team has done it but that was the LCS. Thanks for hooking me up!

    Reply
  • 3. Nicole  |  October 6, 2007 at 3:24 pm

    Love the site – keep up the great work!

    P.S. I might not have even mentioned that oversight if it weren’t for my rabid love for the Sox. 🙂

    Reply
  • 4. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  October 6, 2007 at 3:31 pm

    Thanks! Thanks again, that’s the last time I take info from one of the anchors on ESPN!

    Reply
  • 5. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  October 6, 2007 at 6:33 pm

    Oops, I guess the Cubs will have to wait til “Next Year”.

    Reply
  • 6. Tyler  |  October 6, 2007 at 8:11 pm

    Damn, I was really hoping for a cubs comeback, I wanted a Red Sox vs Cubs World Series! lol

    Reply
  • 7. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  October 6, 2007 at 9:04 pm

    I was hoping they would’ve atleast made a series out of it.

    Reply
  • 8. charlie  |  October 7, 2007 at 6:16 am

    Well the cubs have no one to blame that series on but themselves. They were like what 1-27 with RISP? They deserve not to win that series. 2 runs 27 innings of baseball is pathetic. I think ARam and Soriano were 0’fers for the series.

    How can you go from being one of the hottest mashing teams in baseball, to looking like you should have lost 120 games?

    As being a cubs fan, I’ve hugely disappointed, BUT I’d rather them lose the Division Series, then come five outs away from the World Series and collapse (IT WASN’T STEVE BARTMAN’S FAULT PEOPLE!), but that’s a whole ‘nother story.

    Reply
  • 9. 19  |  October 7, 2007 at 6:55 am

    zero?

    Reply
  • 10. Arnie  |  October 7, 2007 at 8:17 am

    Steve Rosenbloom of the Chicago Tribune figures Zambrano should be ready to start game 4 of the preseason.

    Reply
  • 11. charlie  |  October 7, 2007 at 2:29 pm

    Rockies won themselves. Sweeps in the NL!

    Reply
  • 12. suzy  |  October 8, 2007 at 4:46 pm

    i’ve finally stopped crying long enough to see my keyboard. there was no one to be angry with or yell at except duh the players!!! how much $$ did derosa get for swinging at that 3-1 ball with the bases loaded and only 1 out???
    it would have been ok if they had lost any of those games but i didn’t see a game! this cub fan is signing off and rooting for the tribe.

    Reply

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