Who Will Win the NL MVP?

September 12, 2007 at 1:43 pm 30 comments

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We still have about 3 weeks of regular season baseball left to play, so I don’t want to hear it’s football season yet! The National League is totally up for grabs. The Central can be won by any of three teams. The East by the Mets or Phillies. The West by any of four teams. What a race! With all the competition, who is the National League’s MVP? I will list the top candidates and give you my pick for the NL MVP.

David Wright (3B Mets) – Here is the pick that you will most commonly see. Wright is a great option for the NL MVP. He is hitting .316/.411/.544 with a career high 28 homers, 35 doubles, 96 RBI, 98 runs, 31 stolen bases, and a 86/108 BB/K rate. Wright could, and should, win the gold glove at 3B. Wright kept the offense going while Carlos Beltran was out of the lineup due to injury and he has tore it up in the 2nd half (.355/.470/.609 and a 45/35 BB/K rate) with Jose Reyes struggling and hitting .258 since the break. Wright has carried the team on his shoulders but I tend to remember the team carrying him when he struggled at the beginning of the season.

Chase Utley (2B Phillies) – Utley has missed some time due to injury and if not for that missed time I think we would be looking at the NL MVP. He is hitting .338/.417/.565 with 18 homers, 43 doubles, 92 RBI, 86 runs, 9 stolen bases, and a 46/75 BB/K rate. He leads the league in AVG and is second in OBP. He plays a physically demanding postion up the middle and holds his own. The knocks on Utley are that he has a lineup around him and that he his home stats carry his total stats (.384/.458/.643 with 12 of his 18 homers). But imagine where teh Phillies would be if he never got hurt.

Matt Holliday (LF Rockies) – If the Rockies squeek their way into the playoffs this guy could easily win the award. Holliday is hitting .335/.396/.586 with 29 homers, 46 doubles, 5 triples, a league leading 191 hits, a league leading 116 RBI, 100 runs, 11 stolen bases, but a not-to-great BB/K rate of 52/111. Holliday also has improved his defense in left. The knock on Holliday will always be that he plays in Coors but he has hit .306 with 51 RBI on the road this season. If the Rockies miss the playoffs expect Holliday to finish in the 5-8 range in the MVP voting.

Prince Fielder (1B Brewers) – You want power numbers for your MVP? Fielder is your man. He has hit to the tune of .290/.387/.616 with a league leading 44 bombs. He has also driven in 105, scored 96, hit 33 doubles, and has a good BB/K rate for a power hitter at 72/105. The Brew Crew have had a hard time keeping the lead in the Central and Fielder could lose votes for that. He could also lose votes due to the surrounding cast he has in rookie Ryan Braun (tied for 5th in homer with 30 in only 388 at-bats), Corey Hart (hitting .297/.355/.536 and is a 20/20 guy), and J.J. Hardy having a career year at SS with 24 homers. But let’s not forget that Bill Hall is having a down year with only 13 homers and a .258 AVG. And Rickie Weeks has been injured and been sent down to AAA. Fielder is a good option for MVP.

Jimmy Rollins (SS Phillies) – If I had a vote it would go to Rollins. He has been the one constant in the Phillies lineup. While Ryan Howard was out he hit. While Utley was out he hit. While Pat Burrell sucked he hit. While the bullpen was blowing saves. While the bullpen and rotation were injured. While… wait, I think you get my point by now. Overall Rollins is hitting .295/.346/.532 while leading the league in runs scored at 125, triples at 17, at-bats with 633, tied for the lead in extra-base hits at 80, and third in hits with 187. He is second amongst shortstops in homers with 27, tied for the lead in RBI with 82, third in doubles with 35, and third in stolen bases with 30. Like Wright, Rollins should also win a gold-glove if there is any justice in this world. In my opinion defense is way overlooked when it comes to MVP voting and it should factor in. Now, imagine where the Phillies would be without Rollins.

Other notable options:

Albert Pujols (1B Cardinals) – .321/.424/.562 with 30 homers, 31 doubles, 89 RBI, 88 runs, and a ridiculous 90/56 BB/K rate.

Russ Martin (C Dodgers) – .297/.378/.475 with 17 homers, 30 doubles, 21 stolen bases, 81 RBI, 80 runs, and 60/79 BB/K rate.

Chipper Jones (3B Braves) – .330/.416/.598 with 25 homers, 39 doubles, 87 RBI, 93 runs, and a 70/70 BB/K rate.

Eric Byrnes (OF Diamondbacks) – .297/.367/.487 with 21 homers, 28 doubles, 8 triples, 81 RBI, 94 runs, 45 stolen bases, and a 56/89 BB/K rate.

-Jonathan C. Mitchell

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30 Comments Add your own

  • 1. suzy  |  September 13, 2007 at 12:23 am

    GREAT QUESTION!!! the races in the NL are amazing Utley is the bomb. chipper was always my mom’s favorite. And there is no football untill the world series fat lady sings!!!

  • 2. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  September 13, 2007 at 5:46 am

    I agree totally! Football exists once baseball is over. So, who is your pick for NL MVP?

  • 3. Danny  |  September 13, 2007 at 8:03 am

    I have to go with David Wright on this one. He is producing just as much as the other candidates and is on the best team in the NL. All these other guys have a strong case but I think Wright should be the one to get it.

  • 4. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  September 13, 2007 at 9:42 am

    I honestly wouldn’t be upset if Wright got it. He has produced when players were injured (Beltran, Alou) and while Reyes has struggled. He will probably finish a 30/30 guy and win the gold glove. No argument against him other than he was awful to start the season and the team carried him. Thanks for the comment Danny, keep em coming!

  • 5. Brittney  |  September 13, 2007 at 4:42 pm

    Chipper freakin’ Jones!! Disabled or not,he kicks butt. He just might be the greatest 3rd baseman ever…well,the greatest I’ve ever seen anyway lol =] But David Wright’s a close 2nd for sure.

  • 6. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  September 13, 2007 at 4:49 pm

    To I catch a little biased vote from you Brittney? Jones has had a great season but he stands no chance of winning unless he drags the team across the finish line into the playoffs. He’s had a great year and should finish in the top-10.

  • 7. Mitsy  |  September 13, 2007 at 5:48 pm

    I’d vote for Chipper Jones, but Atlanta’s probably not in the postseason. It’s a shame a team’s success dictates who wins the MVP, because Chipper has been the Braves MVP.

  • 8. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  September 13, 2007 at 5:50 pm

    Chipper has definitely been the Braves MVP. But he can’t win unless they get to the postseason because his stats don’t line up with some of the players on playoff teams. Chipper has been great this year though.

  • 9. Danny  |  September 14, 2007 at 10:19 am

    “It’s a shame a team’s success dictates who wins the MVP” I don’t want to be rude but that makes no sense to me… of course a teams success effects who gets the MVP. If you are a player that is in the race for MVP but your team does not make the playoffs I don’t think you should even be considered. How valuble are you if you don’t help your team get to the post season?

  • 10. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  September 14, 2007 at 11:36 am

    It’s not so much that fact that the team’s success dictate the outcome of the MVP but more the fact that if you take a player off a winning team (let’s use Jimmy Rollins for instance) the team probably won’t be a winning team. Certain players to carry teams. David Wright and Jimmy Rollins have carried their teams during injuries and slumps and both teams would probably be under .500 without them. They not only carry the teams offensively but defensively, and that is huge when I decide who I think should win the MVP. I see what you are saying though, in the same way the Rockies would be way out of it if Holliday was off the team. I wouldn’t be upset to see him win it. Thanks for your honest input Danny! Keep it coming.

  • 11. suzy  |  September 14, 2007 at 12:00 pm

    i told you its Utley!!! even with the injury.

  • 12. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  September 14, 2007 at 12:38 pm

    Oh, I just thought you were saying he’s the bomb! Gotcha! I think he would’ve won it if he stayed healthy.

  • 13. charlie  |  September 14, 2007 at 2:02 pm

    See I don’t think the team needs to be in the playoffs in order for the player to win the MVP. He should be the most valueable player in the league.

    A few years back when Derek Lee won the batting title was was pretty much the top or near the top at every other category in hitting and fielding. Did he win? No. Albert Pujols won ONLY because of Cards making the playoffs. You take Pujols off that team that year, they’re not as good sure, but they’re still a playoff team. You take DLee off the Cubs that season? they’re looking at winning maybe 50 games. He entirely carried the team that season.

    Last season, Pujols threw a crap fit when Howard won the award over Pujols. CRY ME A RIVER. Minus average, Howards stats were pretty much better than your stats… And he won the home run derby that year too.

    I think the MVP is a bit tainted and needs to the best singular player for their respective leagues.

    With all that being said… I think David Wright will sqeek out a close win this year, with Fielder a close second.

  • 14. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  September 14, 2007 at 3:00 pm

    The MVP can’t just be given to the best overall statistical player. He could be awful on defense and if it was all for the glory of self then he wasn’t the MVP. I also believe that if you don’t take walks, hit into a lot double plays, and get caught stealing alot but still have great numbers in the power categories you are not an MVP.

    There is an award for the best hitter, the Hank Aaron Award (just like the Cy Young for pitchers). An MVP is a player that takes his team to the next pinnacle. The difference from winning 80-90 games is much bigger than 60-70. It’s still a 10 win difference but percentage wise it’s mcuh harder to do.

  • 15. charlie  |  September 14, 2007 at 3:06 pm

    Yeah, I’m not denying any of that. I think the team in / out of the playoffs shouldn’t be any part of the consideration. Oh, by the way the season Pujols won, he lead the league in errors by first basemen…. a stat category you DON’T want to lead.

  • 16. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  September 14, 2007 at 3:17 pm

    WOW! I didn’t know that about Pujols. That’s ridiculous. He should’ve lost votes for that.

  • 17. Brittney  |  September 14, 2007 at 8:45 pm

    There’s no bias,no hidden agenda,or anything like that lol I said what I said because it’s true =]

  • 18. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  September 14, 2007 at 9:09 pm

    We’ll see if the voters agree with you! =)

  • 19. Brittney  |  September 18, 2007 at 1:25 pm

    They probably won’t lol but it’s pretty obvious it won’t be Chipper this year…but he’s still making a run for the batting title. I think he has a better chance at that anyway,considering for now he leads the NL with a .339 BA =]

  • 20. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  September 18, 2007 at 2:53 pm

    I’m so glad to see Chipper having a great year, especially with Andruw Jones being so awful.

  • 21. charlie  |  September 19, 2007 at 2:25 pm

    I like Chipper Jones. He’s my favorite non-Cub (my favorite team) player. He’s not afraid to say what’s on his mind, but it also makes sense (I’M LOOKING AT YOU GARY SHEFFIELD!).

  • 22. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  September 19, 2007 at 9:17 pm

    Chipper will probably win the batting title but not the MVP. I also like Chipper a lot, I don’t know many people who don’t like him.

  • 23. Brittney  |  September 20, 2007 at 1:26 pm

    I don’t either,I mean,how could you not like Chipper?? It’s hard to not have some level of respect for a guy who has killed it with one team his entire career! lol (and for charlie)Chipper actually said Sheff was the best teammate he’s ever had haha

    And to Jonathan,Andruw has been a little “off” all season,but he is by far the greatest CF I have ever seen….take a look at an Andruw Jones highlight reel;there’s no way you could take THAT out of your line up,no matter what’s going on at the plate lol

    And sorry,I’m typing a book here,but I have nothing else to do and I like to be social haha


  • 24. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  September 20, 2007 at 2:04 pm

    Keep being social Brittney, we love you here! Andruw Jones’ defense is going to be hard to replace but he’s gonna watn aroun $16-$20M per season and he’s not worth it. He’s slowing on defense (but is still great) and his bat isn’t worth that.

  • 25. Brittney  |  September 20, 2007 at 3:21 pm

    Thinking about this being the last season with Andruw in a Braves uniform,bums me out=/ He’s been here forever!! lol He’s said a couple times he wants to stay in Atlanta,but that is a lot of money he’s asking for…and when I say ‘he’,I mean Scott Boras.

  • 26. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  September 20, 2007 at 4:25 pm

    It will be a sad thing to see him go. The Braves need to try to get Rocco Baldelli from Tampa Bay on the cheap. They offered Escobar, Salty, and Davies for him and Tampa turned it down. The Braves should try something beacuase Baldelli is worth half of what he was.

  • 27. Brittney  |  September 21, 2007 at 1:25 pm

    I think I’m gonna cry myself to sleep every night if he goes…is that too much? lol =/

  • 28. Jonathan C. Mitchell  |  September 21, 2007 at 1:30 pm

    Yeah, it’s not worth it to cry over players leaving, it’s sadly a part of baeball you just have to get used to. Atleast Chipper and Smoltz have been there their entire big league career.

  • 29. Brittney  |  September 26, 2007 at 2:54 pm

    True,true lol I hope Chipper wins the batting title..and maybe even his 1st gold glove=]

  • 30. charlie  |  October 1, 2007 at 8:33 am

    Now if the Rockies win the playoff game tonight. I think Holliday will win now.


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